Players
in Tanzania’s gas market that are relying on sales of gas to domestic customers
through the Mnazi Bay-Dar es Salaam gas pipeline, received a huge boost last
week when Wentworth (OSE: WRL) and AIM (AIM: WRL) announced they has secured a
payment security agreement with Tanzania’s Petroleum Development Corporation
(TPDC) enabling the company to make its first gas delivery from its Mnazi Bay gas
project, a joint venture production sharing contract which also includes Maurel
and Prom and TPDC.
As
I have reported on in the past, the difficulty with securing gas sales
agreements in Africa for sales of gas where the end customer is a domestic one,
has always been the securing of a suitable financial guarantee. African
utilities in particular have challenges when it comes to credit control. Let’s
put it this way, it’s very difficult to collect cash from some customers.
On
September 12, 2014, Wentworth and the Mnazi Bay partners signed a gas sales agreement
with the Tanzanian government to deliver up to 130mmcf/day of natural gas from
the Mnazi Bay concession, however, the agreement still required a financial
guarantee.
Under the terms of the gas sales agreement, the sale
price of the gas has been set at US$3.00 per million BTU, or around US$3.07 per
thousand cubic feet, rising in line with the US CPI industrial index. The
Partners have agreed payment security terms with TPDC, the buyer of the gas,
and various other parties. Accordingly, the sales of natural gas will be
settled in accordance with the agreed payment terms.
From
my experience I think the agreement with involve typically a three month
rolling letter of credit and probably some form of upfront payment, probably
also three months. It is unlikely the World Bank would have supported TPDC with
a Partial Risk Guarantee (PRG) and or a Multilateral Investment Guarantee
Agency (MIGA), but I might be wrong,
Shares
in Wentworth are up 13% today and the other two AIM players that will receive a
huge value catalyst from this news are the two other Tanzania London listed
Tanzania gas players who have a similar JV turn on gas project ready to go at Kiliwani
North are AMINEX (AEX) shares up 9%
today and Solo Oil (SOLO) whose shares are also up 9%
I would expect AMINEX to secure its
GSA for Kiliwani quite soon and this would mean a significant re-rating of its
stock and that of Solo Oil, who can excerise an additional 6.5% stake in Kiliwani
on the GSA being signed. At 13% (78,000 MMBtu per month) Solo would generate
over $200,000 of free cash flow per month.
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